Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets
I am occasionally blog on a paper that is of interest. Well, of interest to me. The latest paper to catch my eye is (other papers I have commented on can be seen here). Leighton Vaughan Williams (2000) Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets, Journal of Forecasting, 19(6), 505-513 (doi). The reason […]
Prediction of sporting events: A Scientific Approach
My final year undergraduate dissertation project (many years ago) attempted to predict the outcome of horse races using Neural Networks. I briefly blogged about it in June 2009 (https://graham-kendall.com/blog/?p=8/). The result of the project was (in my view) encouraging but was lacking in a couple of areas. The data was incomplete (the starting prices were […]
Horse Race Prediction with Neural Networks
I was sorting through some old papers recently and I came across my undergraduate final year dissertation. I recall that it started as a project about genetic algorithms but quickly turned into a project that used neural networks to predict the outcome of horse races. I trained a back propagation network and used the final […]