Wisdom of the Crowds at the Graduate School Christmas Party

In 1906 Francis Galton was at a country fair and there was a guess the ox competition. He took all 787 guesses and took the average. This was 1,197 pounds. The actual weight? 1.198 pounds! In effect the wisdom of the crowds gave a perfect answer. This was the start of The Wisdom of the Crowds.Wisdom of the Crowds

Our Graduate School held its Christmas Party yesterday (18th Dec 2015) and they were kind enough to invite me. When I got there, I noticed that there was a jar of sweets, inviting people to guess how many sweets were in the jar. This reminded me of the story above.

When the competition ended, the person who had the closest guess would win the jar of sweets.

The jar held 149 sweets. The closest guess (by Oppong Kyekyeku) was 130; nineteen away – but good enough to win the prize.

When we looked at all the entries (see below), we found we had 22 entries, with an average of 152 (actually 152.409). That is just three away.

To be honest, with such a small sample size, I was surprised that the wisdom of the crowds (well small gathering) had beaten every other guess and had got within four of the right answer.

Francis Bacon would have been proud!

(This post also appeard on the University of Nottingham Research and Knowledge Exchange blog)

 

20151218_155857 20151218_155510 20151218_155922Graduate School - Gues the number of sweets

What is Operations Research?

Radar Sun Dogs
Radar Sun Dogs

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


The terms Operations Research (American term) and Operational Research (European term) are used interchangeably. The discipline is also referred to as….. [read more]

 


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

How would you like to promote your scientific paper in a five minute video

Video Camera
Video Camera

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


AudioSlides are short, webcast-style presentations that are shown next to your article on ScienceDirect. This new format provides you with the opportunity to explain your research in your own words, helping readers to understand what your paper is about and appreciate its relevance….. [read more]

 


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

How academics can engage with policy

Newnight Credit Crunch
Newnight Credit Crunch

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


How academics can engage with policy: 10 tips for a better conversation? [read more]

 


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Periodic Table of Videos (Hydrogen – 1 – H)

Periodic Table of Videos (Captured from http://www.periodicvideos.com/ (3 Mar 2013))
Periodic Table of Videos (Captured from http://www.periodicvideos.com/ (3 Mar 2013))

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


In this series, we are presenting videos from the Periodic Table of Videos (Web Site / YouTube) project.

This project shows a short video about each of the chemical elements.

This video looks at Hydrogen, which has an atomic number of 1 and the symbol H.


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Numberphile (Statistics on Match Day)

Screen capture of Numberphile web site (captured 24 Mar 2013)
Screen capture of Numberphile web site (captured 24 Mar 2013)

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


In this series, we are presenting videos from the Numberphile Videos (Web Site) project.

This project is a colllection of videos about numbers. Thhis video is about football match statistics.


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Molecular Videos (Smelly)

Molecular Videos. This image was captured from the Molecular Videos web site on 16th Mar 2013.
Molecular Videos. This image was captured from the Molecular Videos web site on 16th Mar 2013.

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


In this series, we are presenting videos from the Molecular Videos (Web Site) project. This project covers a range of molecules and compounds.This video below looks at Smelly substances.


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Singapore Statement on Research Integrity

Integrity or Vice (image by DeactivatedAndGone - downloaded from Google (16 Mar 2013) - labelled as free to reuse)
Integrity or Vice (image by DeactivatedAndGone – downloaded from Google (16 Mar 2013) – labelled as free to reuse)

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


As you find more about research integrity, it is not long before you come across the Singapore Statement. See the full post here.

 


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Ranking’s research impact indicator is skewed

Harpendon, Southdown Road, Skew Bridge (Credit: Nigel Cox CC2.0)
Harpendon, Southdown Road, Skew Bridge (Credit: Nigel Cox CC2.0)

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


The 2012 Times Higher Education World University Rankings consisted of 13 indicators grouped into five clusters. One of these clusters consisted of precisely one indicator, research impact, which is measured by normalised citations and which THE considers to be the flagship of the rankings.

It is noticeable that this indicator, prepared for THE by Thomson Reuters, gives some universities implausibly high scores …”. Read more at Ranking’s research impact indicator is skewed.


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.


 

Video Channels for Numbers, Periodic Tables, Deep Sky and all that is Molecular

Spiral Galaxies (From http://pixabay.com/en/ngc-2207-spiral-galaxy-light-year-11170/ (3 Mar 2013), under CC0)
Spiral Galaxies (From http://pixabay.com/en/ngc-2207-spiral-galaxy-light-year-11170/ (3 Mar 2013), under CC0)

[Go direct to Uni of Nottingham post]

As well as this blog, I also contribute to a blog at The University of Nottingham, Malaysia Campus.

Some of the posts I write for the University of Nottingham blog might also be of interest to a wider audience, so I decided to post a link to selective posts on this blog.


We have found some video sites which are informative and also introduce some complex topics to the general public who may want the information in a more accessible form. Read more at Video Channels


If you want to see all of the posts I have linked to on this blog, I have listed them under the category UNMC R&KT.