Time to switch to Java for a football prediction project
I have decided that it was time to switch to Java for a football prediction project that I have been planning for some time. I want to do the project justice so I thought I would start from the most basic decision. What programming language should I use? The Problem with C++ For the past […]
Football fixture forecasting. Are you any good?
Football fixture forecasting is something I have expressed an interest in recently. Actually, this blog contains a forecasting category, that you might be interested in. In my last post, I mentioned a crowdfunding project that I am trying to get off the ground. This prroject aims to investigate football fixture forecasting, utilising methodologies such as Artificial […]
Crowdfunding: A new model to fund research?
A few weeks ago I came across something called crowdfunding. I have known about crowdsourcing for a while, but crowdfunding had escapsed me. I am not sure it is a good idea but I thought I would try it out (see my project here, it develops my project for football prediction or, for more general […]
Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football
I occasionally comment on a scientific paper that is of interest to me. This time, it was: Lars Magnus Hvattuma and Halvard Arntzenb (20010) Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football, International Journal of Forecasting, 26(3), 460-470 (doi). This paper falls into the broader categories of Football, Forecasting and Sport, which I have […]
Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English Football
I sometimes comment on a scientific paper that has caught my eye. This time, it was (comments on other papers are also available): David Forrest, John Goddard and Robert Simmons (2005) Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football, International Journal of Forecasting, 21(3), 551-564 (doi). This paper falls into the broader categories of Football, […]
A compound framework for sports results prediction: A football case study
The latest paper that caught my attention, that I thought I would comment on is (other publications I have commented are can be seen here). Byungho Min, Jinhyuck Kim, Chongyoun Choe, Hyeonsang Eom and R.I. (Bob) McKay (2008) A compound framework for sports results prediction: A football case study, Knowledge Based Systems, 21(7), 551-562 (doi). […]
Sports Forecasting: A Comparison of the Forecast Accuracy of Prediction Markets, Betting Odds and Tipsters
In some of my posts I comment on a scientific paper that has caught my eye. There is no particular reason for the papers that I choose, they are just of interest to me. In this post, the paper that caught my eye was (comments on other papers can be seen here). Martin Spann and […]
Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets
I am occasionally blog on a paper that is of interest. Well, of interest to me. The latest paper to catch my eye is (other papers I have commented on can be seen here). Leighton Vaughan Williams (2000) Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets, Journal of Forecasting, 19(6), 505-513 (doi). The reason […]
Prediction of sporting events: A Scientific Approach
My final year undergraduate dissertation project (many years ago) attempted to predict the outcome of horse races using Neural Networks. I briefly blogged about it in June 2009 (https://graham-kendall.com/blog/?p=8/). The result of the project was (in my view) encouraging but was lacking in a couple of areas. The data was incomplete (the starting prices were […]
Football Prediction: A decision to be made
Today I have been working on my research that is investigating if it is possible to predict the outcome of football matches. The measure I will eventually use, to see if the predictions can be considered successful, will include if it can make money at the bookmakers, if it it more successful than other tipsters […]