A compound framework for sports results prediction: A football case study
The latest paper that caught my attention, that I thought I would comment on is (other publications I have commented are can be seen here). Byungho Min, Jinhyuck Kim, Chongyoun Choe, Hyeonsang Eom and R.I. (Bob) McKay (2008) A compound framework for sports results prediction: A football case study, Knowledge Based Systems, 21(7), 551-562 (doi). […]
Sports Forecasting: A Comparison of the Forecast Accuracy of Prediction Markets, Betting Odds and Tipsters
In some of my posts I comment on a scientific paper that has caught my eye. There is no particular reason for the papers that I choose, they are just of interest to me. In this post, the paper that caught my eye was (comments on other papers can be seen here). Martin Spann and […]
Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets
I am occasionally blog on a paper that is of interest. Well, of interest to me. The latest paper to catch my eye is (other papers I have commented on can be seen here). Leighton Vaughan Williams (2000) Can Forecasters Forecast Successfully?: Evidence from UK Betting Markets, Journal of Forecasting, 19(6), 505-513 (doi). The reason […]
Prediction of sporting events: A Scientific Approach
My final year undergraduate dissertation project (many years ago) attempted to predict the outcome of horse races using Neural Networks. I briefly blogged about it in June 2009 (https://graham-kendall.com/blog/?p=8/). The result of the project was (in my view) encouraging but was lacking in a couple of areas. The data was incomplete (the starting prices were […]
Football Prediction: A decision to be made
Today I have been working on my research that is investigating if it is possible to predict the outcome of football matches. The measure I will eventually use, to see if the predictions can be considered successful, will include if it can make money at the bookmakers, if it it more successful than other tipsters […]
Football (Soccer) Prediction: Data Collection (#002)
If you have read previous versions of this blog you’ll know that a) I have an interest in trying to predict football (soccer) matches and b) I am currently developing a system (as a research project) that I hope to get up and running in the next month or so. What kept me busy for […]
Football (Soccer) Prediction: Development Framework (#001)
As the new football (soccer in the USA) season approaches I am trying to get a football prediction system up and running. I think I will struggle to get it ready for the start of the new season (which starts Aug 7th) but that is not so important as this is mostly a research project. […]
Football Prediction: Follow up
Whilst searching around the net looking for relevant resources for my plan to predict football matches, I came across The Sports Exchange. It looks like a relatively new web site, but seems very nice. I posted a comment in their blog (about football pools prediction), and received a number of replies. The blog entry can […]
Predicting the Results of Football Matches
I have recently become interested in trying to predict the results of football matches. The interest grew from wondering what else I could use the data for, that I had collected for generating football fixtures (see JORS paper). The data included the travel distances between all the teams in each division. I also maintained the […]
Horse Race Prediction with Neural Networks
I was sorting through some old papers recently and I came across my undergraduate final year dissertation. I recall that it started as a project about genetic algorithms but quickly turned into a project that used neural networks to predict the outcome of horse races. I trained a back propagation network and used the final […]