{"id":1162,"date":"2013-06-19T01:42:14","date_gmt":"2013-06-19T01:42:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/?p=1162"},"modified":"2020-09-22T01:58:26","modified_gmt":"2020-09-22T01:58:26","slug":"predicting-football-fixtures-are-you-any-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/predicting-football-fixtures-are-you-any-good\/","title":{"rendered":"Football fixture forecasting. Are you any good?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_1170\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1170\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Chelsea-and-Battersea.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1170\" alt=\"Chelsea have produced artist's impressions of how a new stadium at Battersea Power Station would look. Photograph: Chelsea\/PA (19 Jun 2013: downloaded via Google where the image was labeled as free to reuse)\" src=\"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Chelsea-and-Battersea-300x180.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Chelsea-and-Battersea-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Chelsea-and-Battersea.jpg 460w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1170\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Chelsea have produced artist&#8217;s impressions of how a new stadium at Battersea Power Station would look. Photograph: Chelsea\/PA (19 Jun 2013: downloaded via Google where the image was labeled as free to reuse)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Football fixture forecasting\u00a0is something I have expressed an interest in recently. Actually, this blog contains a <a title=\"Link to forecasting category\" href=\"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/category\/forecasting\/\">forecasting<\/a> category, that you might be interested in.<\/p>\n<p>In my<a title=\"Link to last post\" href=\"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/2013\/06\/crowd-funding-a-new-model-to-fund-research\/\"> last post<\/a>, I mentioned a crowdfunding <a title=\"Link to crowdfunding project\" href=\"http:\/\/www.indiegogo.com\/projects\/evolving-prediction-algorithms-for-football-matches\/x\/3649235\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">project<\/a> that I am trying to get off the ground. This prroject aims to investigate football fixture forecasting, utilising methodologies such as Artificial Neural Networks and algorithms based on Darwin&#8217;s prnciples of natural evolution (survival of the fittest).<\/p>\n<p>Doing research for this project, I looked around a few football forums and found that there is a <em>brisk business<\/em> in football forecasting competitions (usually just for fun).<\/p>\n<p>For example:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>FootballForums.net have a Football Forum thread, which can be accessed <a title=\"Link to Football Forum thread\" href=\"http:\/\/www.footballforums.net\/forums\/forumdisplay.php\/207-Official-FF-Competitions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Total Football Forum also has a prediction <a title=\"Link to Total Football Forums prediction thread\" href=\"http:\/\/www.footballforums.net\/forums\/forumdisplay.php\/207-Official-FF-Competitions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thread<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I mention these now, as they might be of interest as the new season approaches.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, one of football&#8217;s most well known pundits (Mark Lawrenson) makes predictions every week (on Radio <a title=\"Link to Radio Five Live\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/5live\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Five Live<\/a> I believe) and these are tracked at various web sites including <a title=\"Link to Lawro 2011-2012 predictions.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.myfootballfacts.com\/Mark_Lawrensons_Predictions_2012-13.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MyFootballFacts.com<\/a>. This site does a great job of showing the actual league tables and what would have happended if all Lawro&#8217;s predictions had come true. It&#8217;s interesting to see the fairly signisficant differences league table based on actual resuts. I guess it is no that surprising that there are large differences as, if Lawro, was an excellent preditor all the time, the bookies would be bankrupt.<\/p>\n<p>I think I am also right in saying that Lawro tries to predict the actual score. This has got to be difficult. If I ever get my <a title=\"Link to crowd funding project\" href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/11MqZgL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">project<\/a> off the ground, I think I&#8217;ll just try to predict whether the home team will Win, Lose or Draw.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Football fixture forecasting\u00a0is something I have expressed an interest in recently. Actually, this blog contains a forecasting category, that you might be interested in. In my last post, I mentioned a crowdfunding project that I am trying to get off the ground. This prroject aims to investigate football fixture forecasting, utilising methodologies such as Artificial [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[177,8,110,15],"tags":[157],"class_list":["post-1162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archive","category-football","category-forecasting","category-prediction","tag-prediction_project"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1162"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1626,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1162\/revisions\/1626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/graham-kendall.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}